Archive for the ‘oil fundamentals’ Category

EIA analysis: US gasoline stocks jump 3.015 million barrels on imports, production

US gasoline inventories jumped an unexpected 3.015 million barrels last week, driven by a rise in production and imports, data released by the US Energy Information Administration showed Wednesday. The data was bearish for NYMEX RBOB futures, with stocks on the Atlantic Coast –- home of the New York-delivery point for RBOB –- rising to their highest level since February 2012. You can read Platts’ analysis here.

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The “bust” in Ohio’s Utica shale: a less pessimistic voice is heard

The release of Ohio’s 2012 production figures last week by the state hit the market with a thud, disappointing just about any analyst who checked in with their views. “Bust” was a commonly-heard theme about the Utica, supposedly the next-great US shale play.

So it took a few days, but there’s now an alternative voice, put forth by Sandy Fielden of our friends from RBN Energy. Fielden, in a just-released analysis, makes two points: it’s too early to get too worked up, and the Utica play is going to benefit from preparing for a rush of condensate production.

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EIA analysis: oil inventories are down, runs are up

US crude inventories took a slight downward turn last week, away from several weeks of record highs. You can read Platts’ analysis here.

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Commodities trading: not for the faint-hearted

Once the darling of hedge funds, commodities are now looking like a poisoned chalice. Last year, hedge funds such as BlueGold, which specialized in crude oil; Centaurus, in natural gas; and Fortress Commodities, across all raw materials, shut down. Several commodities fund of funds also closed last year after clients fled.

Commodities trading, it seems – and in particular oil – is not for the faint of heart. The field is littered with failed ventures and prison sentences.

International sanctions on exporting countries such as Iran can make trading crude an even more dangerous game. On May 9, the US Treasury said it was penalizing Sambouk Shipping for contravening these sanctions. Sambouk is allegedly associated with Dimitris Cambis, who, along with a network of front companies, was executing ship-to-ship transfers of Iranian oil to obscure its origin.

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OPEC oil output took a sharp upward turn in April

After several months of cutbacks, Saudi Arabia reversed course in April and boosted its production. That led to an overall rise in the group’s output. You can see the full Platts analysis here.

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Platts London Crude Oil Summit: a word of caution about shale delirium

Some notes from day 1 of the Platts London Crude Oil Summit:

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ICYMI: Biden and Keystone, US oil import balance, Brent/WTI

A few random things at the end of the week:

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EIA analysis: small gain in crude oil stocks means yet another record

The continuing rise in US crude oil stocks added only a small amount to the country’s stockpile last week, but that means inventories were at yet another record. You can read Platts’ analysis of this week’s EIA report here.

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Petrodollars: Tighter Brent-WTI spread raises new challenges for refiners

The wide Brent-WTI spread has meant enormous profits for US refiners lucky enough to take advantage of it. But it’s not as wide now, and that is bringing a new set of issues for those same companies. Janet McGurty looks at the issue in this week’s Oilgram News column, Petrodollars.

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EIA analysis: a record stockpile of crude oil

The weekly Energy Information Administration stocks report showed that the US now has more crude oil in storage than ever before. You can read Platts’ analysis here.

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