Archive for the ‘oil fundamentals’ Category

EIA analysis: big build in crude oil stocks

A sagging crude oil market got another big hit of bearish news today with the weekly EIA statistics showing a big build in crude stocks. You can read our analysis here. 

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More oil demand gloom from the IEA weighs on world’s producers

With crude prices at near four-year lows, the last thing the world’s key oil producers want to hear is that demand growth is set to weaken yet further.

But that was the message from the International Energy Agency in its latest monthly oil market report published today.

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A veteran economist looks at oil price collapses of yore, and sees parallels to today

Phil Verleger has a long memory.

Phil is a veteran energy economist, and he and I have been emailing each other over the course of the last week, recalling the oil price collapse of the mid 1980’s. As he noted, there are a dwindling number of of people still in the industry who remember that. But I had just joined Platts when the great collapse of 1985-1986 took place. On April 1, 1986, WTI plunged to less than $10 and no, it wasn’t an April Fool’s joke. (It remains the only day in the history of the WTI contract, launched in 1983, that the price ever “printed” a number less than double digits. It has never settled at less than $10.)

In his latest weekly report, Phil recalls that fall, as well as the collapse of 1998-1999. While WTI prices didn’t drop below the $10 level in the late 90’s, the levels of that period, after adjusting for inflation, were the lowest in history.

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Petrodollars: As oil prices plummet, the squeeze grows on balance sheets

The math doesn’t work for a lot of oil projects as the price continues to slide. Robert Perkins, in this week’s Oilgram News column Petrodollars, reviews the capital investment conundrum many companies are facing.

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EIA analysis: US crude stocks show unexpected draw

US crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories fell across the board last week. Run rates last week fell to lows not seen since the beginning of the summer.

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Takeoff, eh? At time of need, New York jet fuel heads to Canada

New York jet fuel prices spiked from mid-July through August, and new data gives more insight why. Blame Canada.

Canada may be sending everything from comedians and crude into the US. But in July, it took in a good bit of US jet fuel, mostly out of New York.

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EIA analysis: big draw in crude oil stocks

US crude oil stocks took an unexpected downturn last week. You can see our analysis of the latest Energy Information Administration inventory report here.

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MPG OMG! What’s behind the gasoline demand drop?

Over at ESPN, there’s a podcast called “Numbers Never Lie.” 

The name’s something sports types like to throw around when making a point.

Like this: Detroit Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is one of only four players with 300 total bases in 11 straight seasons. It would be hard for even a Kansas City Royals fan to punch a hole in that.

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Up or down in OPEC, its oil supply all comes back to the Saudis

Oil prices have found some support from the potential for lower production from OPEC next year, as suggested by the group’s secretary general, Abdalla el-Badri.

Speaking to Platts by telephone from Vienna earlier this week, Badri was at pains to stress that he was not predicting the outcome of OPEC’s next scheduled meeting on November 27. Nor was he talking about a 500,000 b/d reduction in the group’s current 30 million b/d ceiling. He was, he said, talking about an outlook that pegged the call on OPEC crude at 29.5 million b/d. He was not talking about a decision by OPEC.

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EIA analysis: US crude oil stocks increase

The US West Coast was the main driver of the crude oil stock increase this week, partly due to a decrease in refinery runs, which fell 82,000 barrels per day to 2.37 million b/d.

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